Monday, 31 August 2015

High Ministerial Salaries: Wrong Assumptions For Wrong Pay?

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  19

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/12/high-ministerial-salaries-wrong.html

{The art of making yourself rich, in the ordinary mercantile economic sense, is therefore equally and necessarily the art of keeping your neighbour poor.  ….. John Ruskin}


The reasons for paying very high salaries for Singapore ministers are based on various wrong assumptions.

They assume ministers are super human beings that can work 24 hours a day 7 days a week. They assume these political holders are productive and efficient every seconds, no sick leave, no emotional problem, like machines operating without any maintenance.  Furthermore, they assume these people are as enterprise as entrepreneurs, risking and scarifying their carriers, family and friends.

The PAP government got the assumptions so wrong that they pay the wrong salaries to their ministers.  If you examine the reasons and assumptions, they are all wrong.  Why wrong?

Perhaps only a robot can justify for the assumptions of the working conditions described above.  Even that, a robot still needs some maintenance and definitely, a robot will not have the enterprise spirit of venturing out and risk powerless to function effectively and efficiently.

Hence, if you can’t fulfill these assumptions, it is better not to assume high salaries for the wrong reasons.  You have overpriced your intelligence, capability, productivity, judgments, body and mental condition, and most importantly your power base.     
  
This is like the corporate world.  The top corporate leaders are pricing themselves above the market rate, especially in the financial and property sectors.  They think that they are top talents in the world and so they demand top world class salaries. However, they create crisis after crisis, debts after debts, and so we see the results of ‘Occupy Movements’.   

To protect themselves and justify for their top salaries, these CEOs, CFOs, Chairmen and Presidents have to engage in many PR activities which are not productive in their works. 

To be fair, we have to differentiate business corporate managers and entrepreneurs.  There are justifications for entrepreneurs getting high rewards and compensation.  Entrepreneurs are taking risks and they may end up as a bankrupt.  This is why people are admiring entrepreneurs like Bill Gate and are not so against their richness. 

The government is paying high salaries to our ministers. They are only able to do it because they assume that they have the mandate from the people.  However, the mandate is not always in your favour, and it is subject to change.  Even there is a review in the ministerial salaries; it may still keep and continue with the wrong assumptions.  As a result, the old problem of high and wrong salaries is still there. 

Who know one day more and more will see the wrong assumption for the wrong pay. When more and more people disagree with the wrong assumptions of the PAP, more will like to see the change to take place. 

老弱残兵雷声大 收拾失地雨点小 谁在为正义而战?

否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.
Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  18

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/12/blog-post.html 

行动党自从在5月兵败阿裕尼后,沉静了6个月后,最近在党大会上,才再提要收拾失地。不过,看起来是雷声大,雨点小。自从工人党联军登陆行动党的“诺曼底”后,行动党除了前方吃紧外,连后方也出现问题。根本的问题是派不出一员猛将,说服勇敢和有智慧的志愿者,收复已经被敌方攻克的“诺曼底“.

“诺曼底“失守,真的这么重要吗?是的。不只”诺曼底“已经失守,连东部的德国坦克部队,也将在苏俄的攻击下,全部失守,形成两面受敌的局面。行动党的结局是否如此,这就要看选民如何定义下一届大选,是否是正义的选战?

现在突然跑出一个林文兴,说要领军收复失地。林文兴何许人也?行动党前主席,工会前秘书长,内阁前部长,今年大选,贵为党主席,却没有上阵,好像许子根,贵为党主席,已经宣布不参加下一届的马来西亚大选,可想而知,他已经知道自己的下场了。

林文兴很可能是行动党历届主席中,最没有势力和分量的人。那么,我们看看什么人曾经担任过行动党主席呢?杜进才,陈庆炎,甚至现在的许文远,不用多说,林文兴和他们一比,斤两有多重,一看就清楚了。这样的人,即不是武将,也不是文才,你说他能做些什么。

正如坊间传言的,行动党将会派老弱残兵来充充面子。前部长,前副总理,前国会议长,再加一个前部长和新兵,凑成5人,前往“诺曼底“应战。这样的架势,超级前部长团队,不能不说,阵容强大,雷声很大。明眼一看,就知道这是虚张声势。但是,我们实在不能怪行动党,过去几年,行动党根本没有培养出可以上战场的武将,甚至连出策献计的文才也没有。

因此,行动党现在说要听基层的话,不要空降候选人,要选有贡献的人,早一点推出候选人,早一点做准备等等。因为,正如在行动党大会上说的,下次大选,没有安全的选区,没有包吃得榴莲。行动党候选人要有求胜之心,各自守好本身的阵地,不要让俄美英联军攻陷。

怎么我们的常胜军,突然会变成哀兵上阵,害怕上战场,害怕真枪实弹了。原先的保护网,50年后,竟然越来越无效,不中用了。

谁在为正义而战?

春秋无义战,虽然在历史上,春秋没有正义的战争,但是,往往站在正义的一方,会有一些优势,人们也会同情具有正义感的一方。春秋五霸的出现,也显出他们是比较有正义感的。

事实上,杨荣文领军的行动党阿裕尼团队是一支很强的队伍,在正义感方面也比其他行动党组合好。即使吴作栋也认可,为何偏偏是他们这组人遇上工人党的联军。他虽然认为可惜,但是,也要承认和接受在正义面前,选民的最终选择。

阿裕尼选民为何要冒着没有提升机会,没有优先权,失去部长,组屋价值下跌的风险,而要选工人党呢?他们这么做,是不是把正义放在金钱之上,牺牲杨荣文的行动党团队,就是要让正义(或让更高的正义队伍得胜)得以伸张呢!注意,这不说其他选区的人没有把正义放在金钱之上,因为选民的最后选择还是要考虑候选人的素质,政党的背景,才觉得值不值得投下正义的一票。事实证明,也只有工人党的阿裕尼联军获得选民认可,可以完成伸张正义的任务。难怪,他们工人党在国会会提出魏征之说。

从全国范围看,陈庆炎在总统大选得票如此之低,不也在在说明,选民如何看待陈庆炎的正义感,他以鲜明的行动党背景参选,投他一票,不是等于投行动党以金钱为利益前提的一票。大多数的人认为在正义面前,陈庆炎可能做得不够,做得不完善,甚至不尽力维护正义。

新加坡独立以来,虽然走得都是经济之路,但是,大富大贵的人毕竟还是少数,经济的金字塔是不可能倒过来的 - 富人比穷人多,没有一个制度,不论资本主义还是中国的共产主义能够做到。因此,最后还是要看这个政党,有没有正义感,责任心,是否以民意为先。这就是得民心者得天下的基本道理吧!而民心就是正义的标准。

Long-term planning – I thought we always had it in Singapore!

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  17

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/11/long-term-planning-i-thought-we-always.html



Singapore is a planned country - from the day of our independence or even longer than that from the day Sir Raffles Stamford found it.  Sir Raffles wanted to make Singapore a trading hub in the Far East and skilfully and strategically planned a successfully ‘take over’ of Singapore.
So, planning is not a strange word for Singapore.  In our early history, we built our economy based on suggestions and planning from United Nations (Dr. Albert Winsemius). In 1960, Dr Winsemius led the United Nations team to examine Singapore’s potential in industrialization. …... He presented a 10-year development plan to transform Singapore from an entrepot trade port into a centre of manufacturing and industrialization. (wikipedia).

And now, suddenly we hear that we need to have a long-term planning for flood control. Don’t we ever have one? We have long-term plan for water requirements even long before our independence (the water contracts with Malaysia) and now PUB is telling us there is no long-term plan for flood control. Have we already forgotten the story of once in 50 years – the force of nature?

Long-term plan and nature

<Dr Balakrishan noted that Singapore is at a point where it needs to develop a long-term plan for flood control infrastructure.

But even as he outlined plans to review and improve the flood control system, he was quick to set expectations right.

"Nature is a very, very powerful force ... there will inevitably be some episodes of flash flooding, despite all our best efforts ... what we will commit to, is making sure that everything we can do to prevent it, to mitigate it, and to keep you informed, we will do so."> (Today, 16 Nov 2011)


Since there is no long-term planning for flood control, it can also mean there is no long-term planning for migration, MRT/Bus, foreign workers, housing, hospitals, doctors, education, etc. What a surprise!

When everything moves smoothly, there is a planning and when things are not OK, it can be the force of nature or there is no planning.

Only short-term businessmen or speculators will not have long-term planning. Our GIC and Temasek Holdings, when they made losses, they will tell you they are looking at the long-term and not short term.
Is this a long-term planning?  People are told we may need 10, 20 years to recover the losses and this is planning!


Wait a minute we have to admit the force of nature too as suggested by Dr Balakrishan. Not only for flooding, but also for all other social and economic areas, natural force or market force is very powerful.  We did not expect the population to be increased by so much, so the trains, buses, housing, hospitals and many infrastructures are facing pressure to meet the demands.

We have economic forecast every year.  We even are happy if we can achieve 3-5% annual growth in the coming 10 years. So, there must be a planning, especially water is money and flooding is causing money.

Are all these problems caused by nature or lack of planning?  Or our economic development and planning is so successful in the past 50 years that we overshoot our target and land us in a situation of planned development higher than planned infrastructure.

So, don’t blame the nature? The nature will grow on its own speed and human beings have to adjust the change of nature. Perhaps, we have moved so fast that the nature is not able to cope with it.  This is especially true for Singapore.  Limited by land and nature resources, even with reclaimed land, there is a limit and constraint for Singapore to grow.     

Of course, if you look at the money, the GDP, the profit, you will consider less of your physical constraint and look more on how to maximise profit. 

This perhaps is the result of using GDP as a measure of happiness.  

Lee Yuan Tseh, the first Taiwanese Nobel Prize (chemistry, 1986) laureate, in a recent interview (see below) pointed out that blindly emphasizing the growth of GDP is not equal to happiness. In the process towards globalization, we need to look at the relationship between human beings and land.  Only considering this, then the growth will be a healthy one.     

Man and land, development and nature, will PUB consider more human touches and nature elements in their long-term plan for flood in Singapore?


*

联合早报的尴尬地位,反映了华文华语在新加坡的处境;不久后早报很可能要和八卦报纸争老大

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  16

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/11/blog-post_11.html


这是一个让人感慨的调查统计数据,早报读者人数又再下降了。尼尔森(Nielsen)媒体调查公司公布的数据显示,早报的读者人数只比新明和晚报多一个马鼻。


这是早报自己的报道:


每天阅读《早报》的人数大约有504000个,但如果把范围扩大到一周内至少曾读过一天《早报》的读者,渗透率则达17.6%,或694000人。同样由新加坡报业控股出版的华文报章《新明日报》和《联合晚报》,渗透率分别增加到12.6%11.5%。每天读者人数分别是497000人和452000人。


有关报道加上将范围扩大到一周内至少曾读过一天《早报》的读者的数据,其实是有一点要误导读者,不小心细读,还真以为早报的读者人数,高达694000人。作为新加坡第一大华文报,早报大可不必如此。

上网看了一下早报的读者数字介绍:

《联合早报》的平日发行量约为20万份,星期天22万份,新加坡读者人数约75万。除了在新加坡发行之外,也在中国大陆、香港特别行政区和文莱等地少量发行。

或许,早报应该及时的更新上述数据,就像读者要知道,和有权知道最新消息一样。不然,恐怕会被人误会数据造假,误导广告商和热爱早报的读者。

万万没有想到权威的第一大新加坡华文报,在新加坡特殊的语文环境下,竟然面对这样的尴尬场面,严肃看报的人每况愈下,喜爱八卦新闻的人却有增无减。不久后,新明读者再增加,早报读者再微降,新加坡第一大华文报,竟然要和八卦新闻竞争老大的地位。这也没有什么好说的,看看苹果日报在香港和台湾的地位就知道了。


从南洋商报,星洲日报,新明日报,民报(还有人记得这份报纸吗?)到联合早,晚报,新明日报;这一路走来,也见证,反映了华文华语的崎岖之路。报业合并,也改变不了这个命运。越来越少人对权威的早报有兴趣,语文水平的降低,也只能看看八卦新闻比较适合。


不对,早报不是说在国外,尤其是中国大陆有一定的影响力。受到很多网上读者的欢迎,认可,肯定,甚至是每天必读的网上报纸。不知道这跟中国官方特别融通,让早报可以在中国随便上网查阅,在一些地方可以买到有关。


说到权威性,我们在早报网上,看不到博文部落格。凤凰网,中国网,华尔街日报,甚至中国时报网,都可以看到不错的文章,唯独早报网没有。哦,不过,在类似八卦新闻的‘omy网上,却设有博客栏目。或许,这也是配合新明晚报的演出。


早报的尴尬命运,对于新加坡受过华文教育的人来说,即是事实,也是不可逃避的命运,早报不高兴,难道华校生会高兴吗?只是在国内外一片华文华语有商用价值的呼唤声中,这个语文越来越受到世界重视的时候,我们却开了倒车。


不论早报将来的命运如何,我们自己活得快乐最重要。我们心中的那把尺,自然会衡量出自己的幸福指数来。

Don’t Stop At Six. More Voices Are Needed In The Parliament For The Oppositions

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  15

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/10/dont-stop-at-six-more-voices-are-needed.html

[First published Oct 2011]



The long awaited Parliament has finally opened and everything is planned by the ruling PAP, including the election of the Speaker of the house, the seating arrangement and the President’s address for the next five years.

However, the first thing the oppositions ask for is to have more time to speak to voice out for the people. The opposition Workers’ Party chief Low Thia Khiang has to urge the Speaker for more opportunities for opposition MPs to speak. 

Why is there a need or urge to request for more time and opportunity to speak if we have more opposition members of Parliament?  So, don’t stop at six, in the next election, we should elect more opposition MPs to truly represent us in the Parliament, or even forming the alternative government.

NCMP is a short term solution and we should make it irrelevant in the next election.  In order to do that we need more people to come forward to represent and support the oppositions. 

As Chen Show Mao said, “I hope that by the small examples of more and more people around us taking small steps forward,  Singaporeans will be more encouraged, will be less fearful, will find it more normal, to speak up, ask questions and become more actively engaged in politics.  And he stressed that “At this point in our nation's history, the act of coming forward is an act of public service.  Taking the first step forward makes half the journey.”

Six opposition MPs is really a under representation for the oppositions.  It is even not enough to form a shadow cabinet and so how to have a full debate on every issue.  There is also a lack of resource support and think tank advisory.  Hence, we may not have the opportunity to see high quality debate in other major democracies, perhaps, not even the standard of the Malaysia Parliament debates.  

Simply because it is a PAP “controlled’ parliament due mainly to the overwhelming number of PAP MPs in the Parliament. WP MPs will need some good strategies to break the monopoly and control.

No only we need capable people to stand for the oppositions, we also need more voters to support the oppositions. 49.9% support will not win you a MP seat in the first past the post one to one election.  If you want to have more alternative voices, do as the Aljunied and Hougang voters do, vote decisively in the next election! 

不要把内安法当成一门生意来做

否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.
Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  14

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/09/blog-post_28.html



从所周知,行动党是把新加坡当成一门生意来经营的。因此,在内安法的废除问题上,行动党也是采取这个态度,它没有说不废除,只是说现在还不是时候,仍然有存在的价值,我国仍然需要内安法这张纸老虎。

对 行动党政府来说内安法是无奈,不得已,同时也是鸡肋。的确如此,行动党知道内安法已经靠不住了,但是,有一张纸老虎皮,随时要穿上吓吓人民,还是有一定用 处的。只要它是一个法令,政府就可以灵活的诠释,利用内安法来维护本身的利益。这当然包括打击对手,妨碍反对党的势力增长。

行动党仍然是庄家,垄断市场

况且,现在,行动党仍然是庄家,发牌,出招,占有国会的绝对优势,做起事来还是很方便。并且,一直在嘴上说它在全国有60%的 支持票,仍然是大多数人的选择。所以,对于一个习惯垄断生意的人,一时之间,要想叫他接受竞争,挑战,改变生意手法,不是一件这么容易的事。要想告诉消费 者,垄断是不好的,垄断会抬高物价,一般消费者一时之间,还不能明白过来。况且,一般消费者,没有身受其害,还认为垄断是应该的。

因此,行动党才认为在五月大选中输掉一个集选区,不是个灾难,同时,也不必为此而讨好人民。这也意味着,在行动党的治理下,新加坡接下来将不会出现一个一味迎合民众要求的民粹主义政府。


市场力量,人民力量

但是,任何的机关算尽了,任何的垄断手法用尽了,到头来,吃亏还是自己。在生意场上,在股市,不是有一种力量叫着‘市场力量’吗?不然,政府投资公司,淡马锡控股怎么会把国库储备输掉,连账目也不让你看清楚呢?

既然在国际市场上,吃了亏,知道市场力量的威力,没有像新加坡一样的垄断条件,行动党政府就无能为力,国外的投资,真是无奈,不得已,又是鸡肋,看着UBS, Citibank, 还有好多的海外投资,不知何时回本。现在,只能说这是长期投资了。

虽然如此,在国外斗不过人,不要紧,只要在国内利用垄断地位,稳住外汇储备,依然还是可以利用人民的钱,再战国际市场。反正,内有内安法压阵,一时之间,也没有人敢跨越内安法一步,以身犯法。所以,这在算盘中,叫做‘买时间’,慢慢来,不得已的时候,再来废除内安法不迟。

时机未到,无需紧张

内安法的废除时机,在行动党的算盘里,现在还不是废除的时候。反正,在国际上,也没有人,尤其是我们的西方盟友,不会对新加坡是否会废除内安法大做文章。在国内,内安法这个法令还在,一般市民,已经习惯了,也不会起哄,而强烈要求废除内安法。

目前看来,内安法这笔生意,在行动党手中仍然是一门垄断性的生意。既然,垄断的生意这么好赚,为何要轻易放弃呢?能够赚多久就赚多久。反正马来西亚废除内安法,好处和坏处还看不到,说不定赔了夫人又折兵。不但内安法白白废了,国阵自己在选举中又得不到好处。

而且,现在离开下一届大选还有五年,这个时候出牌废除内安法,收到的效果,肯定不是很好。为何,不像往年一样,在选前大派红包,废除内安法在五年后也可以当成一个红包,送给人民,搞一个民主形象,那么,这个算盘,不是打得更响吗?

但是,世界上有永远的垄断吗?这个如意算盘永远都会在行动党手中吗?尤其是,行动党的所谓人才,将来的接班人,第四代领袖,能够继续垄断下去吗?他们能够继续利用旧方法,来垄断新加坡的政治吗?

机关算尽了,最后还是要输。政府投资公司,淡马锡控股的顶尖人才,你能说他们不会算吗?他们算到这样准,但是,怎样也敌不过市场力量,最后,还不是要被海外的市场力量所打败吗?回到国内,随着垄断地位的渐渐消失,人民力量的渐渐壮大,有一天,行动党也会被人民力量所吞没。

人算不如天算,行动党的命运,内安法的废除时间,只是时间未到,不是不到。耐心一点,不要操之过急,说不准,行动党比你还要急,只是苦在心里口难开。

Sunday, 30 August 2015

Singapore Inc Is Built To Last or Built To Make Profit?

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  13

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/09/singapore-inc-is-built-to-last-or-built.html




The ultimate creation of the first generation leaders of the PAP to Singapore is Singapore Inc. It is not about the economic growth, housing development, jobs and other achievements that the current PAP government keeps on reminding the people.

Singapore Inc is built to last first and then built to make profit.  If we are to be built to make profit, then a colony status or a semi-independent status like Hong Kong with a big brother protection may be a better solution.

Another myth of Singapore Inc under the PAP government is the need to have great and charismatic leader. This is why they keep on stressing the A team. There is only one team of top class leaders is available in Singapore and this team is from the PAP.

Guarding and destroying

This great leader theory has been implanted and practiced in our business and commerce, especially in the government linked companies. The recent appointment of Wong Kan Seng and Dr Lee Boon Yang as the chairman of Singbridge and SPH respectively is a clear example.

This kind of practice is to guard the GLCs and prevent them to make creative moves.  It is to keep their operations in line with the Temasek and government polices that are engineered by the PAP. 

There are many similar appointments with ex-ministers, retired civil servants, former military and police personnel at GLCs inside and outside of Singapore.  These appointed chairmen or presidents are just blindly guarding and following the PAP’s instruction but not the Singapore Inc’s – the wishes of the people.

GLCs are not only controlling our economy. In addition, it has discouraged the development of entrepreneurship in Singapore.  These GLC enterprises have co-operated with each others to prevent competitions. Look at the telecommunication sector, the transport sector, etc; one will see the true picture.  And we should question their existence is for the people or the PAP.

Singapore Inc is an ultimate creation and within it, there is a part called GLCs and the PAP.  However, they are not only obstacles to the growth of the country, but also act as destroyers to creative ideas and alternative suggestions.

The PAP is OR but Singapore Inc is AND

OR: You are either following the PAP or against the state.   The PAP always projects a wrong OR thinking in Singapore.  If you oppose the government’s policies, you are wrong. If you go against the policies, you are trying to create troubles and you are against the law.

If you want to have high growth, you need to increase the immigrants.

If you are a female and want to have a PhD, you will end with no family.

If you want to vote for an opposition, you will be served last.

If there are two A teams, the country can not compete with other countries.  So, we can only have one strong A team.

The OR is dividing Singapore as a country and we should consider the AND under the Singapore Inc.

AND - Both the PAP and the oppositions are present under the Singapore Inc.  Each has their role and makes contribution to Singapore Inc and the people. 

If you want to have checks and balances, you need to have a strong and effective opposition in the parliament.

If the government is listening and wants to have the real feedback, it must treat the people with equal no matter they are oppose or support the PAP.

If you want diversity, you should not allow the government institutions to be used only by the PAP.
The resources must be shared by different camps and people.

The AND is uniting the people and will build a strong Singapore Inc.

First-rate intelligence with two opposed ideas

“The test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time, and still retain the ability to function.” – F. Scott Fitzgerad.

May be the PAP is not able to produce the first-rate intelligent leaders with two opposed ideas.  However, Singapore Inc is a larger identity than the PAP.  It is able to have two opposed ideas and is still able to function effectively.

Or, perhaps, the day will come when the opposite camp is able to produce first-rate leaders who are able to handle difficult questions and opposed ideas from the PAP as well as governing Singapore effectively.

This is the hope and aim of Singapore Inc. 

儿子太笨,老爸辛苦,无奈的不得已

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  11 

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/09/blog-post_15.html



红楼梦第57回,贾宝玉哭道:凭他是谁,除了林妹妹,都不许姓林!贾宝玉爱林黛玉爱痴了,不许其他人姓林。有时,爱一个人,爱一个党,爱一个国,爱得太深,真是会爱出病来,说出太过离谱的话来。

李前总理日前在李光耀政策学院的讲话,否定新加坡有足够的人才来组成两支顶尖的团队。然而他希望新加坡国会只是出现一个具有竞争力的反对党,而不是两党制。李前总理或许太爱行动党,太爱新加坡,只希望行动党来带头领导这支顶尖的团队。

顶尖领导未必来自行动党

即使,新加坡只出现一支顶尖团队,也未必是行动党的闪电队伍,可能是行动党温和派和反对党的联合队伍,也可能是反对党强大到足以组成本身的新加坡顶尖领导队伍。面对现实,尤其是行动党保守派,他们以过去的方法来治国的策略,已经无法迎合民心。

今年的大选和总统选举的结果已经显示全国的人才,并没有全部集中在行动党。我国政治趋势的发展,令行动党担心的是,下次大选,将无法吸引到足够的一流人才作为候选人。没有人才的行动党,如何组成新加坡顶尖的领导团队?

具有竞争力的反对党,只在国会发发声?

什么是一 个具有竞争力的反对党?一个有竞争力的反对党,当然是希望不断强大,有朝一日,上台做政府,组成新加坡的顶尖团队来领导国家。如果一个有竞争力的反对党, 正如李前总理说的,在国会里发发声,而这声音具有竞争力就可以了。那么,这将是一个没有出息的反对党,很可能还会被选民认为是行动党钦定的反对党,留下历 史恶名。过去。在国会里做戏式的提问,不可能再出现了。

反对党只为选票,不理财政?

李前总理担心的两党制,极可能最终会在新加坡出现。但是,他也不需提心吊胆,认为反对党上台就会把国库花光,而产生动用储备的脑筋。他害怕,他担心,反对党利用花钱的伎俩来骗选票。事实上,行动党不也在一直利用国家的钱,做着保留行动党政权,维续行动党政府的工作吗?

事实上,国人在总统选举中已经极为担心我国的外汇储备,这笔钱到底如何的投资,是否正如政府说的有那么多的外汇储备,国人似乎永远都看不到储备的真实情形,也担心公积金的回笼。因此,即使行动党利用陈庆炎这样的顶尖人才出马,也只能获得35%的支持票。

行动党向中共学习什么?

行动党和中国共产党已经建立了党对党的联系,不时,还会派代表到中国学习,向中共偷师。凤凰网今天的两篇报道,或许值得行动党注意:

《朱镕基爱看港报:内地的报纸上找不到骂我的文章》


《温家宝914日在大连世界经济论坛2011年新领军者年会的回答:第一,坚持依法治国。一个执政党最重要的任务就是要依照宪法和法律办事,并且严格在宪法和法律范围内活动,这就需要改变以党代政,把权力绝对化和权力过分集中的现象。为此,必须改革党和国家的领导制度。这个任务是邓小平先生在30年以前就提出来的,我认为在今天尤为紧迫

或 许,上述的论点,就是李前总理说的一个有竞争力的反对党在国会发发声音,就如,朱镕基说的看看一下香港报纸,温家宝说的不要过分集中权力,让其他的人也有 发声的机会。但是,中国人民会满意这样发发声,就把事情给结束了,了结的做法吗?他们也要看中国政府有没有做事,把事情办好。

同样地在新加坡,人民也要当家做主,不一定要选行动党作为顶尖队伍的领导,也可以选其他的组合,甚至选反对党来当家做主。

行动党的下一代,能否继续传承下去?

我们在媒体上,看到太多这样的例子。东方的父母,华人的父母往往被孩子拖累,一世的英明被毁了。儿子太笨,不争气,老爸辛苦,无奈的不得已。

中国的官二代,富二代,经常在媒体上曝光,打人闹事,已经
凸显了这个问题的严重性。做父母的希望孩子成才,没有想到孩子竟然这么不争气,把父母的一生成就毁于一旦。

我们的问题没有这样严重,但是问题仍然存在。即使所谓接受洋式教育的我国精英领导,不也或多或少为了维护孩子,要出动白马政策,保护孩子。陈庆炎一直到现在,还说不清他孩子的国民服役,奖学金的疑问。

不论如何,这也显现行动党的下一代,或者说,这些领导的下一代,在我国的公平竞争制度下,任人唯贤的政策下,未必将是国家未来的顶尖领导的一份子。因此,如果,新加坡只有一支顶尖领导团队,那么,这支队伍的领导就未必是行动党或行动党的下一代。

在这点上, 即使在新加坡这个所谓的奉行西方教育,西方法制,西方民主的国家,英文为主的国家,在处理亲情这个问题上,东西方任然还是有分别的。

我们应该学习西方的大气,曾认事实,面对现实。自己的下一代,未必比其他人的下一代强,苦苦要维系,继续自己的江山,行动党的一党独大的政府,又何苦呢?

It is easier to transfer money assets in the Reserve than the physical leases in Aljunied

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  11

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/08/it-is-easier-to-transfer-money-assets.html


In this Presidential Election, we are selecting a candidate to safe guard our reserve.  However, our reserves are all in numbers, for example investments in shares, stocks and gold etc.  Our CPF money is also the same, in numbers of units of Singapore Government Securities.  To transfer these money assets is very easy; you just need to key in the password and the correct codes.


We don’t know the magic numbers in our reserve.  We certainly don’t know how they transfer the money assets.  But if it is in the case like the one happened in Aljunied, then we will have to worry about it and ask for greater transparency.

Transfer of lease from HDB to PA

The Housing and Development Board's (HDB) "unilateral decision" to lease 26 sites to the People's Association (PA) and exclude them from common property managed by the Aljunied-Hougang Town Council "is politically motivated and an abuse of power", the Workers' Party (WP) charged yesterday. (Today 23 Aug)

In a media statement yesterday, WP chairman Sylvia Lim argued that HDB - "as part of the Government machinery" - is abusing its power as land owner of common property in HDB estates to help the PA achieve the political objectives.

These include preventing elected MPs from holding activities at the excluded sites which are strategically located and convenient to residents; and curtailing the ground presence of the elected MPs, by warning the residents that their applications for events at those sites may not be approved in subsequent years if WP MPs were invited, she added. (Today 23 Aug)

The transfer of lease ONLY takes effective after WP won Aljunied GRC. If PAP remains in Aljunied, will HDB do the transfer?   

Against the wishes of the People

This is against the wishes of the Aljunied voters. It is a step back ward in our democratic system. Do you believe the PAP government is listening to the people?

If a non-PAP endorsed candidate wins the Presidency, can you imagine what kind of transfer will the government do to our reserve?  But if we don’t elect this candidate, we never know the true picture or half true picture.

Therefore, voting a candidate like Tan Jee Say, we will see how the government transfer the money assets in the reserve even Tan Jee Say may not be able to veto it under the Constitution. At least, we can see the movements and the transfer of money assets. Tan Jee Say will report to the people how the government transfer the reserve from one pocket to another pocket.   

2nd class President, MPs, and citizens

This is really beyond the issue of ‘Chen Show Mao barred from events in Paya Lebar’.  It clearly shows that elected MPs of the other side will not be treated equally.

This will apply to the Elected President of the other side.  He will be treated differently.  Voters who vote for Tan Jee Say will have to be prepared that he will be treated differently from the government.  But at least, the trade off is we will see some transparencies in our reserve. 

If you vote for Tony Tan, you can never expect him to give you the transparency.  He is happy to remain the status quo. 

There is a price to pay for voting Tan Jee Say. But if you want transparency, you will have to vote for Tan Jee Say.

If the government treats some MPs and even the President as second class, do you think the government will treat the citizens as first class?

Now it is time for change. We want to be the first class citizens in this first world country called Singapore. 

欠你钱的人说话比你还大声,有这么一回事吗?不信,看看你的公积金,工人党的阿裕尼。

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  10

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/08/blog-post_24.html

到底谁是主人,谁是债主,怎么好像换了位置。借出钱的债主,债权人,好像没有发言权。而拿着你的钱的人,欠你钱的人,却四处炫耀,在世界各地投资,成为世界上最有影响力的投资者。

当淡马锡控股和政府投资公司在世界各地投资时,可否想到,这是公积金会员的血汗钱。

民选总统帮助欠钱的人,还是借出钱的人

民选总统到底要站在那一边,他是要帮助欠钱的人(政府),还是借出钱的新加坡人民。总统的职权之一,就是要为人民看好公积金,看好储备金。储备金如果没了, 也就等于公积金也没了。但是,总统也可以不看储备的账簿,跟现任总统一样,不只不看,他还曾经让欠钱的人,动用多一些钱,而没有
向借出钱的人报告。

在四位候选人中,陈庆炎是唯一,也是最可能维持现状的人。那就是说,借出钱的人,政府的债主,公积金会员,还是要像过去12年来,看不到账簿。其他三位总统候选人,在不程度上,都会要求政府每年出一份年报,报告储备的状况。

歪理变成有理

这 好像是一个歪理,但是,有时借出钱来的人,的确是有口难言,不上不下,不知如何是好。你看看中国,美国的最大债权国,虽然,钱是借出了,但是,又害怕收不 回来,又害怕美国赖账,更加害怕美国倒了,血本无归。当美国开口再借时,又不能说不,只好再买美国的债券。几年后,收回美金,又不值钱。

新加坡人民是公积金的会员,把钱借给了政府,政府拿到国外去投资,投资的结果,没有人知道,总统也不理。公积金会员,虽然像中国一样,有怨言,但是,有苦说不出,当政府再发新加坡政府债券时,公积金局就代会员自动的去买。

所以说,美国说话比你中国大声,欠钱的人就是有这个歪理,夹持着你,让你看他的脸色。公积金会员也不是一样吗?你借钱给政府,政府没有感谢你,不让你看账簿,还要你继续买债券,你又不得不买,因为,你的钱锁在公积金局,不到老年拿不出来的。

你有权否决这个歪理

本星期六,当你站在投票箱前,如果认为欠你钱的人说话可以比你还大声的话,并且同意这个歪理的话,那你就投选陈庆炎,他会让你一直低下头做人,看不到储备的账簿。陈如斯则不同,他会公布储备金年报,他会要求自己以道德良心为做事的标准。

新加坡人应该要向这个歪理说。 几十年来,欠钱的政府,没有说声谢谢,还说他在国外投资有理,给你看个总数,看个回报率。美国虽然没有给中国看本身的账簿,但是美国国内,三权鼎立,账簿 的透明度肯定是有的,借钱还要辩论。我们的政府当然看不起这个做法,为何要这么麻烦,总统都不理了,国会也管不了,继续我行我素,继续跟公积金局拿钱。

霸道行为也反映在治国上

政府的这种霸道行为,也当然不局限在公积金,储备问题上,也延伸到治国方面。早报这条新闻真妙,好像前后倒置:

‘阿裕尼后港市镇理事会改变原有立场,不再规定基层组织在租用市镇会所管辖的场地时须邀请该区国会议员出席。人民协会也因此作出相应调整,不再禁止议员出席非基层组织在人协管辖场地所主办的活动。换言之,所有议员往后都能应邀出席类似中元会晚宴的活动,反对党议员也不例外。’

这像不像政府处理公积金的手法。建屋局把阿裕尼市镇会区内用于主办社区活动的26个公共场所拿回,再租借给人协。
然后,政府告诉你,这26个地方,你不用管理了。由人协来管。如果你工人党不出声,你的议员不可以参加这26地方的活动。现在,你投诉,我就让你出席。

这个歪理可真妙。我把你从家里赶走,让另一个人来管,如果你不出声,那是你的事。现在,既然你投诉了,连总统候选人也觉得不妥,我就好心,让你可以回家看看,出席活动。

欠钱最大,不会永远都这样下去的

行动党政府不能不正视这种借钱最大的心理,人民没有欠你什么,反而还借钱给你,你拿了钱去花,还对借钱的人不理不睬,喜欢就说可以来看看,不喜欢就说,储备金太机密,不可以随便透露。

时代已经改变了,欠钱最大的心理也要收起来了。如果,不改变,官逼民反,不是这次总统选举,就是下次大选,人民的力量会让你做出痛苦的改变。

Saturday, 29 August 2015

PM Lee, are you Yin-Yang imbalance?

 否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.

Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  9

http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/04/pm-lee-are-you-yin-yang-imbalance.html
PM Lee at NUS ministerial forum source: ST photo
Judging from your speech and questions and answers session to NUS students at a ministerial forum, it seems you are creating more and more Yin-Yang imbalance in Singapore.  One obvious imbalance is the infamous “A two-party system is not workable in Singapore because there is simply not enough talent to form two “A teams”.

No wonder your minister Lim Swee Say came out with the “ill and healthy theory”. In the Mandarin political debate recently he said:  A healthy person does not mean that he would never ever fall ill. Similarly, someone who is ill does not mean he is unhealthy person. For whether one is healthy or not does not depend on the fact of whether he is ill or not; the question is whether it is a major or minor illness, whether he falls ill frequently or infrequently. If one’s illness is minor and infrequent, he is considered healthy; if the illness is major and frequent, then it’s unhealthy.”

Which state are you in “minor and infrequent” or “major and frequent”?  You have failed to realize that the Singapore political illness is “major and frequent” and it’s unhealthy. It certainly needs immediate attention. However, in your address to NUS students, you are creating more and more imbalances in the future of Singapore. And in the coming election, voters are going to re-balance it and make Singapore a healthy place for political development.

The ancient Chinese subscribe to a concept called Yin-Yang which is a belief that there exist two complementary forces in the universe. One is Yang which represents everything positive or masculine and the other is Yin which is characterized as negative or feminine. One is not better than the other. Instead they are both necessary and a balance of both is highly desirable.

PM Lee what you are trying to tell NUS students is PAP is good and there is only one A team and obviously you are saying there is only a “Yang” in Singapore, i.e. PAP and there is no need for a “Ying” to balance off the political environment.  No wonder Minister Lim would stress that “someone who is ill does not mean he is unhealthy person’.  So, Singapore can remain ill but still healthy.

Normally Yin and Yang in the body maintain a dynamic balance through the interactions of inter-opposition, inter-dependence, inter-restriction and inter-transformation. The theory of Yin and Yang is used extensively in traditional Chinese medicine to explain the histological structure, physiological function, and pathological changes of the human body, and to serve as guide for diagnosis of treatment. 

Have you seen a TCM doctor before?  The doctor will advise to seek balance in life but never over stress on Yin or Yang. If you are weak in Yin or Yang, you need to re-enforce it. Look like you have forgotten the TCM advice and want to create more imbalances in Singapore politics. 

Here are some examples in your address at NUS that will lead to imbalance:

You called the following arrangements - a political system to avoid divisive politics and work for Singapore: Introduced Non-Constituency MPs (NCMPs) in 1984, Introduced Group Representation Constituencies (GRCs) in 1988, Provided for Nominated MPs (NMPs) in 1990, and Created the elected President in 1991.

You also made use of the forum to take a potshot at the opposition, saying that it is ‘futile’ to join the opposition as there is little they can do with the PAP remaining in power.

You championed One-party rule and Two-Party system will result to:  First, society splits along race and religion. Second, society divides along class lines. Third, split on policy. Fourth, most important reason why two-party system is not workable – not enough talent to form two A teams.

You disliked the saying:  Opposition parties pitch themselves as offering Singa­pore a fall-back should the PAP fail.  (No hope for people) Join the opposition, and spend his life waiting (and maybe hoping) for the PAP to fail one day.

You only wanted people to join the PAP, and help it make sound decisions, implement good policies, and avoid mistakes but agreed only “by all means join the opposition if the government is wrong or incompetent.”  How do we know when is the time the government is wrong or incompetent? 


Do we want to remain “ill and healthy” and wait until the government is wrong or incompetent? Act now before it is too late.   

新加坡拼博精神,未必将由行动党来传承延续

否极泰来 means when misfortune reaches the limit, good fortune is at hand.
Selected old postings for GE 2015 旧论新报 2015大选  8


http://pijitailai.blogspot.sg/2011/05/blog-post_10.html

李资政显然对年轻人很不满意,他认为新加坡的成功并不是偶然发生的。而年轻一代似乎不记得新加坡过去的艰辛建国历程。从另一个方面来解读,似乎是我国年轻人没有以前的拼搏精神,不知辛苦是什么,不知成功是要付出代价的。


行动党或许,需要反思,现在自己本身有没有拼搏精神,然后再来批评新加坡人,尤其是年轻人。行动党本身有拼搏精神吗?从这一届和上一届大选,我们看到的行动党是一个没有拼搏精神,而是要靠制度来取得胜利的政党。

行动党所谓的第三和第四代领袖,他们的素质,真是一代不如一代。他们的新人已经没有在选战中,一对一的勇气,即使是武装部队将领,也没有上大选战场的勇气。这群在行动党温室保护下的新,旧行动党领袖,连选战都不敢打,更大的治国大事,又如何能够有效处理呢?

选 战就是要取得民心,一个不愿和害怕选战的候选人,如果一直要靠行动党的选举制度,选区划分,主流媒体宣传包装,和培训怎么做议员,这样的结果,行动党的前 途的确令人担心。它以前的战斗力去了哪里。行动党自认在建国初期斗赢共产党,为什么,今天的行动党却要靠选举制度来面对选战,从前的拼搏精神去了哪里?

如 此下去,新加坡人民还能靠行动党带领我们共创未来吗?它自己都不敢面对挑战,却怨我们的年轻人,不知从前的辛苦,只知道现在的好,以为一切得来不费功夫。 在怪年轻人之前,行动党很有必要,反省一下,几十年来,政府的教育,文化,社会活动,都是围着逃避竞争,然后利用各种制度,使到它心目中应当胜利的人,取 得胜利。这种标准化教育和社会的行为,导致人们产生失落感,你没有拿到奖学金,你就是次一等的人。你没有5C,那你也是次一等的人。

新加坡拼博精神,已开始转向反对党来传承延续

反 观反对党侯选人,他们没有保护伞,资源不足,但是,拼搏精神却是比行动党高出很多。长期下去,未来的大选,如果,两方候选人的资历是一样,谁胜谁负,已经 是很明显了。李资政一直强调世界上没有免费的午餐,看来,行动党的候选人也要面对选战的现实了。集选区已经被攻破,除非把整个新加坡当成一个集选区来选, 否则,行动党候选人的胜算也只能和反对党侯选人一样。谁的拼搏精神高,谁的真心打动选民,谁就胜出。

反对党候选人在很恶劣的条件下,不公平的选举制度下,已经取得40%的 选票,只要再拼搏,再努力,再突破几个集选区是很有可能的事。年轻人不是不了解拼搏的重要,只是,他们对社会,制度的不平等感到无奈,新加坡的就业机会, 移民政策,平等竞争的机会,在在使到他们认为再拼搏也是无济于事。这是很可悲的!年轻人的拼搏精神在现有的制度下,没有办法喷发出来,所以,他们转而利用 手中的选票对行动党投不信任票。

行动党很难找到高素质候选人

为什么行动党找不到高素质的候选人?原因可能是很复杂,也可能是很简单。但是,归根就底,跟李氏父子有很大的关系。只要一天他们还在行动党内,行动党很可能就找不到高素质的候选人。因为,没有人敢自认比他们父子聪明,能干,更加比不上他们的领导才能。他们已经为行动党设立了最高标准。没有人有可能超越他们。这是,行动党可悲的地方。他们为自己的标准设立限制。既然如此,行动党又如何前进取得进步呢?

我 们看行动党第三和第四代领导层,有谁的能力胜过李总理。不止如此,第四代领导层在素质上比第三代还要差。这种有意识的培养接班人的方法很可能已经不适合现 代社会的需求。一方面,世界上已经很少地方用一代传一代的方法作为一种政治的延续。这好像是从前中国的朝代,一个皇帝传到另一个皇帝。在民主制度下,看在 选民眼中很不顺眼。你几时听过奥巴马是民主党第几代领袖。澳洲工党总理是工党的第几代领袖。即使,我们的邻国马来西亚,也没有说纳吉是属于巫统第几代领导 层。

既然新加坡是以企业方式治国,从这个层面看,行动党的领袖招募也应该可以用企业方式,哪一位行动党候选人在选战中取得胜利,就可以论功行赏,担任政治职位,而不是好像现在这样,内定一些人为接班人。而且,一旦取得执政权后,也可以委任外面的人才担任政府的高职。

行动党能够更加开明吗?能自我更新吗?

李 氏父子是决定行动党是否会改变,改革自我更新的重要因素。只要他们还在党内,行动党是很难做到自我更新的。不是,他们愿不愿意做出改变,而是行动党内的其 他领袖没有勇气做出改变。杨荣文说,他将不参选下一届大选,但是,他希望行动党能够做出改变,你有看到其他部长做出同样的呼吁吗?

因此,行动党很可能继续的沉沦下去,一些好的人才甚至会离开行动党而自立门户,或投向反对党。

李显龙接手总理后,是否有真正的培养行动党的政治领袖。我们现在看看第三代行动党领袖,是否有人可以担任和取代李总理。好像没有。培养接班人的同时,也要让同辈的党领袖担任挑战性的职务,希望新的内阁,能够给目前的党领袖更大的发挥空间。而不是,只是着眼于第四代领袖。

主流媒体折射出来的是跟不上节奏,跟不上时代的行动党

看新传媒报道大选成绩的观丛一定都对他们的报道方式很不满。明明好多大选成绩已经出炉了,选举局还要慢条斯理,依照行动党的剧本,慢慢的公布成绩,几时,行动党获得执政权,几时获得三分二多数席位,最后才公布阿裕尼和波东巴西的成绩。

这个号称动用600多 人的现场节目,还比上微博,面子书,维特的精彩。不只节奏跟不上,连内容都很差。这不是行动党跟民间脱节的另一个写照吗?新传媒可能忘了自己是搞传媒的, 即使成绩要等选举局的正式公布,难道及时的报道侯选人的动态,他们的去向,也做不到吗?这点,报业控股的报道还是比新传媒快。

吴俊刚在今天的早报的评论文章阿裕尼人牺牲了杨荣文之后,充分显现出行动党的不改变,不更新的态度。他说:无论如何,阿裕尼的选民选择了以牺牲杨荣文的方式来传达他们的心声,罔顾内阁和国家的重大损失,这不能说是理性的选择,令人遗憾,却噬脐莫及。什么叫牺牲,什么罔顾内阁和国家, 什么不能说是理性, 行动党如果还是像吴俊刚说的那样,不知改过,那真是前途有难了。

反对党比较容易找到高素质候选人

这 次大选过后,将会有更多的优秀和高素质的人加入反对党,下一届大选,反对党总体的素质将会进一步提高,反而是,行动党由于种种限制,推出的候选人很可能和 这一届的素质一样,没有亮眼的人才。反对党没有限制自己的最高标准,谁的本事最高,谁就出来领导,没有自我限制发挥的潜能。这样一来,人才的流动就灵活多 了。

2011年的大选,从第一次参选的候选人看来,反对党已经比行动党发掘出更多有潜力的新人。下一届大选,反对党的新人素质将会更高更多。相对之下,行动党压力很大,一方面摆脱不了李光耀思维,另一面,新人不中选的机会增加了,谁还要冒险做行动党的候选人呢?尤其是在事业上有成就的人。

未来的路:反对党前进,行动党保守

有关未来五年,行动党会不会做出改变,还是只是喊喊口号而已。个人的看法是,只要行动党继续以经济为前提,做出改变的可能性并不高。目前,第三代领导层并没有其他领袖显现出极大的勇气要做出改变。所以,这重担就落在李总理身上了。而他是否仍受李资政的影响这个答案只有他自己知道。

不论,行动党是否能随民意做出改变,反对党这方面肯定会做出积极动作,民主党已经为下届大选做准备了。工人党在取得一个集选区和一个单选区后,更是如虎添翼。人民党也推出他们的五年计划。

这种反对党持前进态度,行动党持保守态度的现状,如果继续下去,下一届大选,行动党得票再次下跌,议员席次再度下降,是很可能发生的。这种发展,将有利于我国出现一个两党制的国会。新加坡不再是一党独大,不再只有一个行动党的A队了。